Hmmm there seems to be a problem fetching this series right now. Last successful fetch was on November 23, 2022 15:50 ()
What now? This series will be checked again in the next day. If you believe it should be working, please verify the publisher's feed link below is valid and includes actual episode links. You can contact support to request the feed be immediately fetched.
Manage episode 338328053 series 2968120
#15. Kevin Dorst has amazing theories on the rationality of human thinking.
03:30 - You just believe that because...: people from different environments with different upbringings predictably develop different political beliefs
7:30 There's something problematic about the fact that you could've believe differently than you do now so easily (if I would have been born 100km to the north-east I probably would believe in God right now)
12:00 Why the fact that your beliefs will predictably move in a certain direction is often a sign you're being irrational
16:00 How ambigious evidence explains polarization
26:00 Why confirmation bias is rational
30:00 What really drives confirmation bias
38:00 Is it rational to be more critical of uncongenial evidence?
44:00 Recent studies (e.g. Anglin 2019) show polarization and belief perseverance to be rarer than previously thought
48:00 Standard normative models of rational belief and action are wrong about how rational people would think and act
- Kevin Dorst: website, twitter
- Maarten van Doorn: RU page, website, substack, twitter
- Kevin's blog series on rational polarization.
- Here's his 2021 academic paper.
- Dorst (2020) - Confirmation Bias Is Rational
- Anglin, S. M. (2019). Do beliefs yield to evidence? Examining belief perseverance vs. Change in response to congruent empirical findings. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 82, 176–199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2019.02.004