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Why confirmation bias and polarization can be rational (Kevin Dorst)
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Manage episode 338328053 series 2968120
#15. Kevin Dorst has amazing theories on the rationality of human thinking.
Timeline
03:30 - You just believe that because...: people from different environments with different upbringings predictably develop different political beliefs
7:30 There's something problematic about the fact that you could've believe differently than you do now so easily (if I would have been born 100km to the north-east I probably would believe in God right now)
12:00 Why the fact that your beliefs will predictably move in a certain direction is often a sign you're being irrational
16:00 How ambigious evidence explains polarization
26:00 Why confirmation bias is rational
30:00 What really drives confirmation bias
38:00 Is it rational to be more critical of uncongenial evidence?
44:00 Recent studies (e.g. Anglin 2019) show polarization and belief perseverance to be rarer than previously thought
48:00 Standard normative models of rational belief and action are wrong about how rational people would think and act
Shownotes
- Kevin Dorst: website, twitter
- Maarten van Doorn: RU page, website, substack, twitter
- Kevin's blog series on rational polarization.
- Here's his 2021 academic paper.
- Dorst (2020) - Confirmation Bias Is Rational
- Anglin, S. M. (2019). Do beliefs yield to evidence? Examining belief perseverance vs. Change in response to congruent empirical findings. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 82, 176–199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2019.02.004
32 afleveringen
Gearchiveerde serie ("Inactieve feed" status)
When? This feed was archived on October 26, 2023 10:08 (). Last successful fetch was on May 30, 2023 02:33 ()
Why? Inactieve feed status. Onze servers konden geen geldige podcast feed ononderbroken ophalen.
What now? You might be able to find a more up-to-date version using the search function. This series will no longer be checked for updates. If you believe this to be in error, please check if the publisher's feed link below is valid and contact support to request the feed be restored or if you have any other concerns about this.
Manage episode 338328053 series 2968120
#15. Kevin Dorst has amazing theories on the rationality of human thinking.
Timeline
03:30 - You just believe that because...: people from different environments with different upbringings predictably develop different political beliefs
7:30 There's something problematic about the fact that you could've believe differently than you do now so easily (if I would have been born 100km to the north-east I probably would believe in God right now)
12:00 Why the fact that your beliefs will predictably move in a certain direction is often a sign you're being irrational
16:00 How ambigious evidence explains polarization
26:00 Why confirmation bias is rational
30:00 What really drives confirmation bias
38:00 Is it rational to be more critical of uncongenial evidence?
44:00 Recent studies (e.g. Anglin 2019) show polarization and belief perseverance to be rarer than previously thought
48:00 Standard normative models of rational belief and action are wrong about how rational people would think and act
Shownotes
- Kevin Dorst: website, twitter
- Maarten van Doorn: RU page, website, substack, twitter
- Kevin's blog series on rational polarization.
- Here's his 2021 academic paper.
- Dorst (2020) - Confirmation Bias Is Rational
- Anglin, S. M. (2019). Do beliefs yield to evidence? Examining belief perseverance vs. Change in response to congruent empirical findings. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 82, 176–199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2019.02.004
32 afleveringen
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