S4E21: How Polls Predict Voting Preferences From Jan. to Nov. of a Presidential Election Year?

History Behind News Program

►Where do pollsters get their participants?

►Do election polling methods and target audiences change as we get closer to Election Day?

►Do Americans vote for candidates who match their values and positions? Or do we vote for candidates with the best campaigns?

►Are there tried-and-true election polling methods?

►Do polls influence election outcomes?

►How frequently have polls completely botched their predictions?

►What is my guest's prediction for this election?

***** 🚩About My Guest: Dr. Christopher Wlezien is a professor of government in the University of Texas at Austin, with research focus in public opinion, elections, mass media, research methods and other related subjects. He is a Principal Investigator of Datasets on Polls and the Timeline of Elections, a quite impressive research project into polling history that we discuss in this interview.

He is the author and co-author of many books, including the following:

1. Information and Democracy (Communication, Society and Politics),
2. Who Gets Represented?,
3. The Future of Election Studies,
4. Degrees of Democracy: Politics, Public Opinion, and Policy,
5. The Timeline of Presidential Elections - How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter, a book that we discuss in this interview

The link for the video fo this conversation will provided here later today.

***** Sanctions:

How do sanctions work? And why haven't U.S. sanctions on Iran not worked? As my guest, Dr. Vali Nasr explains, Iran sanctions have, in fact, backfired on America.

Watch episode here. *****

🚩⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠SUPPORT⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠:⁠⁠⁠

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Click here⁠ and join⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ our other supporters in the news peeler community.

And here is our support page: https://historybehindnews.com/support

Thanks very much for your support.

*****

Watch our program on YouTube: 📽️https://www.youtube.com/@historybehindnews

Contact me: you can write to me by leaving a comment on any of the videos in our YouTube channel.

***** I hope you enjoy these episodes. Thank you for listening and thanks for your support of our program.

Adel

Host of the ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠History Behind News⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ podcast

1. 🎵 attribution, links and license for the theme music in this podcast: The Success by Keys of Moon | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://soundcloud.com/keysofmoon⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Music promoted by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.free-stock-music.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0): ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.
2. 🎶 Santur: by Peyman Heydarian, ⁠Santur.wav by xserra -- https://freesound.org/s/125654/ -- License: Attribution 4.0
3. Volume, length & sequence of music used in this video have been modified.
4. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠HIGHLIGHTS⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: get future episode highlights in your inbox⁠.

--- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/history-behind-news/support