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Inhoud geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. Alle podcastinhoud, inclusief afleveringen, afbeeldingen en podcastbeschrijvingen, wordt rechtstreeks geüpload en geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts of hun podcastplatformpartner. Als u denkt dat iemand uw auteursrechtelijk beschermde werk zonder uw toestemming gebruikt, kunt u het hier beschreven proces https://nl.player.fm/legal volgen.
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11-18-24 Trump Trade Sends Investors Into Overdrive
Manage episode 450866033 series 1586737
Inhoud geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. Alle podcastinhoud, inclusief afleveringen, afbeeldingen en podcastbeschrijvingen, wordt rechtstreeks geüpload en geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts of hun podcastplatformpartner. Als u denkt dat iemand uw auteursrechtelijk beschermde werk zonder uw toestemming gebruikt, kunt u het hier beschreven proces https://nl.player.fm/legal volgen.
It's the last full week of trading before Thanksgiving. Expectations for US GDP growth in the new year are on the plus side of 3%, vs the EU's negative exepctations: Where do you want to put your money? First place the "Government Efficiency Department" can start is at the Department of Defense, failing its past seven audits. Risks are building in certain market areas where “Trump Trade” exuberance has likely exceeded the grasp of underlying fundamental realities. While investors were a bit skittish heading into the election, the clean Republican sweep of the Presidency, House, and Senate has sent investors scrambling to add exposure across all market assets. While the “Trump Trade” certainly has some legs, lower taxes, deregulation, and tariffs will not solve many companies’ ” sales “ problems. But that is the beauty of speculation: rising prices increase speculation, which leads to higher prices. Lance shares his weekend excurion to The Warehouse at Texas A&M; valuations as short-term tools vs long term fundamentals. Post-election optimism at an all time high; the set up for markets now is very different from 2016. Could BitCoin hit $100,000? Why we don't have it in our 60/40 portfolio: Too volatile. Understanding risk psychology; why we've got about five years remaining to make real money in the markets. SEG-1: Great Expectations for US GDP Growth SEG-2a: An Aggie Christmas SEG-2b: Valuations & Risks in Cutting Government Spending SEG-3: Understanding Bitcoin & Risk Psychology SEG-4: Short-term vs Long-term Market Perspectives Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Assets Keeping You Awake? Sell 'em!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Math Behind the MACD" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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1896 afleveringen
Manage episode 450866033 series 1586737
Inhoud geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. Alle podcastinhoud, inclusief afleveringen, afbeeldingen en podcastbeschrijvingen, wordt rechtstreeks geüpload en geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts of hun podcastplatformpartner. Als u denkt dat iemand uw auteursrechtelijk beschermde werk zonder uw toestemming gebruikt, kunt u het hier beschreven proces https://nl.player.fm/legal volgen.
It's the last full week of trading before Thanksgiving. Expectations for US GDP growth in the new year are on the plus side of 3%, vs the EU's negative exepctations: Where do you want to put your money? First place the "Government Efficiency Department" can start is at the Department of Defense, failing its past seven audits. Risks are building in certain market areas where “Trump Trade” exuberance has likely exceeded the grasp of underlying fundamental realities. While investors were a bit skittish heading into the election, the clean Republican sweep of the Presidency, House, and Senate has sent investors scrambling to add exposure across all market assets. While the “Trump Trade” certainly has some legs, lower taxes, deregulation, and tariffs will not solve many companies’ ” sales “ problems. But that is the beauty of speculation: rising prices increase speculation, which leads to higher prices. Lance shares his weekend excurion to The Warehouse at Texas A&M; valuations as short-term tools vs long term fundamentals. Post-election optimism at an all time high; the set up for markets now is very different from 2016. Could BitCoin hit $100,000? Why we don't have it in our 60/40 portfolio: Too volatile. Understanding risk psychology; why we've got about five years remaining to make real money in the markets. SEG-1: Great Expectations for US GDP Growth SEG-2a: An Aggie Christmas SEG-2b: Valuations & Risks in Cutting Government Spending SEG-3: Understanding Bitcoin & Risk Psychology SEG-4: Short-term vs Long-term Market Perspectives Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Assets Keeping You Awake? Sell 'em!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Math Behind the MACD" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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1896 afleveringen
Alle afleveringen
×We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. The House's Continuing Resolution fails to pass muster, thanks to pressure from president-elect Donald Trump and the emerging D.O.G.E. team. Meanwhile, the Fed cuts rates, as expected, but adds a hawkish slant to their language, and markets shed 3% on Wednesday. Lance & Michael discuss whether the Fed has stolen Christmas in this fashion, dealing with the lag effect, and whether the Fed has inflation under control. Is the Fed going to suddenly pivot to a dovish stance in the first half of 2025? The restrictive policy of the Fed, and short-term investing in bond yields; is Jerome Powell making a mistake? The world is in a recession; why should we care? Because of the globalization of trade. Lance examines the correlations of US GDP to other countries'. Is the US GDP growth normal, or will the US have to catch-down to other economies? We are still experiencing the residual effects of government spending in our economy. SEG-1 Fed Cuts Rates, Adds Hawkish Tone SEG-2: Did the Fed Steal Christmas? SEG-3: Jerome Powell's Balancing Act: Is He Making a Mistake now? SEG-4: Will the US Catch-down to the Rest of the World? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjZ21RSDn14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Fed is Never Right," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dump the 60/40 for 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #HolidaySpending2024 #ChristmasEconomy #InterestRatesImpact #EconomicOutlook#RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
It's Fed Day with it's much anticipated rate cut; what will matter more is the Fed's dot-plot and comments on expectations for 2025. Meanwhile on Wall Street, sloppy trading continues as fund manager rebalance portfolios. Markets are sitting on the 20-DMA and holding firm. The Healthcare Sector is the year's worst performer: Will it offer the most opportunity in 2025? This sector tends to perform better AFTER elections. Lance reveals a new temptation on his route to work each morning; Lance and Danny comment on the notion of dumping the traditional 60/40 portfolio in favor of 100% stocks for retirement, with charts and graphs. More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower? SEG-1: Fed Day - What Will They Say? SEG-2: Dumping the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-3: So You Think You Can Beat the Market? SEG-4: Why No One Wants Value Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w SSenior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunities Ahead in Beaten Down Stocks?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HqWOpYV_Qs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Retail Sales numbers this week will feed into expectations for 2025. Fed meeting tomorrow: Cut and pause, or cut and slow? Employment revisions are also due, but markets won't care. The stock market is still hitting all time highs, but that's not necessarily the case, sector by sector: Basic Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Energy are not mirroring the S&P 500; the Magnificent 7 is responsible for the bulk of growth. It's a very narrow market. “When you sit down with your portfolio management team, and the first comment made is “this is nuts,” it’s probably time to think about your overall portfolio risk. On Friday, that was how the investment committee both started and ended – “this is nuts.” Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn will also discuss where investors are thinking of investing their money next year, and some common "themes" on the minds of investors who find themselves struggling with not making "knee-jerk" reactions.Lance and Jonathan reveal the inner workings of our investing philosophy, and why Lance is not a permabull...or bear. Looking at event-driven markets. Navigating markets up's and downs: how to break down portfolio risks. Our audio mea culpa and four-day growth. Strategies for high-wealth individuals: Don't wait to do RMD's! Roth IRA's and backdor conversions: Are they worth the trouble? Why you should over-fund life insurance policies; managing tax risks. SEG-1: S&P 500 vs Everyone Else SEG-2: Is Lance a Permabull? SEG-3: Navigating markets' Ups & Downs SEG-4: Roth IRA's & Back Door Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Market Really Doing That Great Outside of the Mag 7?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUe60JWmpzM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Why NFIB Optimism Matters" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Microstrategies joins the S&P 100 (just in time to crash?) Bitcoin continues to climb. The FEd will cut rates on Wednesday, but it's commentary and outlook are what will really count. Look for more volatility heading into the Fed meeting; the current rally may end by the 18th. Oil prices have been struggling, thanks to slowing economic growth = less demand. Gold is over-bought, working through sell signals. Meanwhile, the US dollar is like a rocket ship. Why the NFIB Small Business Index matters (and what it is saying); the NFIB Confidence Index; expectatinos vs actual sales; they always fall short of expectations. Why tariffs are a benefit to small businesses. Outlook is very positive following Trump re-election (most small business owners are conservatively oriented.) Lance reviews how the Economic Cycle works; if economy continues to grow at 3%, inflation will remain sticky. Likely no 30% returns in 2025; what are the causes for concern: When everyone agrees on a positive outlook. A YouTube viewer accuses us of using fake data: The DATA is what the markets pay attention to. Why YOU'RE to blame for Bed, Bath & Beyond's failures & other store closings. Why our childrens' expectations are too expensive. How funky mortgages increase house prices. Why the minimum wage is really zero. SEG-1: Oil, Gold & the US Dollar SEG-2: Why the NFIB Small Business Index Matters SEG-3: How the Economic Cycle Works SSEG-4: Our Data is Fake?? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Continue to Struggle," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFaqEHbneAw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Looking Ahead to 2025: Realize Gains ro Change Exposure?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Markets are setting up for a Santa Claus Rally; inflation pressure remains. What will the Fed do next week, and what will Powell SAY? The impact of tariffs may not be too dire; optimism abounds on Wall Street. Danny & Matt discuss end of year RMD's and how to best handle non-spousal Inherited IRA distributions. Constant changes in IRS rules are difficult to follow; delaying distributions might not be a wise choice. The current tax code could sunset in 2026. Danny & Matt discuss one-time lump-sum gifts: No one wants to pay a death tax, but few are able to touch the $14-million ceiling on such The lack of basic financial education; the importance of having The Talk about money with family during the holidays. The pro's and con's of charitable giving to Donor-advised funds vs charitable foundations; A discussion of tax rates vs effective rates when deductions are applied; the SALT deductions: What happens to them? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Setting Up for Santa Claus Rally SEG-2: End of Year RMD's & Non-spousal IRA's SEG-3: One-time Lump-sum Gifts SEG-4: Donating to Charitable Funds vs Donor-advised Funds Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/ "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Gives the Fed a Green Light for Rate Cut" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investment2025 #StockMarketOutlook #PortfolioStrategy #CapitalGains #WealthManagement #FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Lance reviews a recent report about generational wealth transfers, and notes that his kids get NOTHING. Wednesday's CPI report was seemingly the last hurdle for the Fed to cut interest rates. With the CPI index matching Wall Street forecasts, the Fed Funds futures market now implies a 97% chance the Fed will cut rates next Wednesday. The data was OK but elicits fears that the downward price progress has stalled. Lance & Michael discuss the precarious premise behind Microsystem's Bitcoin strategy, what makes for value, and what happens when there's no more buyers. How did the Hunt Brothers' silver gambit differ from Microsystems Bitcoin bid? CPI Recap: Inflation is sticky at current levels because that's where the growth is. Plowing through the final, lame duck weeks of the Biden presidency; there are still some Federal Covid Stimulus funds to be distributed to states, keeping inflation fires stoked. What's happening with Canada and the rest of the world? Economic growth attracts capital; next year may hold surprises for the bullish crowd. Bitcoin is the epitome of The Greater Fool Theory. SEG-1: Generational Wealth Transfers, CPI , PPI, & Santa Claus Rally SEG-2: Microsystems, Bitcoin, & Convertible Debt SEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations? SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/ "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Re-balancing & High Valuation Risks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Post-election consumer confidence is rocketing higher. Inflation Data is coming: CPI & PPI which will be digested in time for next week's Fed meeting. Inflation numbers are likely to tick up from YOY comparisons. Portfolio re-balancing commences. What does financial success look like? Lance and Jonathan review the answers by-generations. Stocks vs Bonds: Earnings growth expectations are too high; what happens if we don't meet them? It was easy managing money this year... A redview of Bob Farrell's Ten Investment Rules, with a focus on #9: When all experts agree... Tax-loss Harvesting & RMD's: Do it now. (Why you shoul;dn't wait until after Christmas.) Understanding the Wash-Sale Rule; speculate in taxable accounts, not IRA's and 401-k's. SEG-1: Post-election Confidence & Portfolio Re-balancing SEG-2: What Financial Success Looks Like - not SEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations? SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Markets Re-balance?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z-IVRw7qXw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Earnings Can't Outgrow the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Lance's Husbands' Christmas shopping warning service; markets are now in second week of sloppy trading. Portfolios out-of-balance will trigger volatility as managers adjust weighting. There is a possible correction coming, BUT markets could continue to rally all the way into the New Year. Tesla is up 54% since the election; a plethora of ETF's: all money flows feed into underlying stocks; $1-T into ETF's this year. Where will the next Trillion come from? What's the Risk for market correction? Volatility Index is down to 13; no one is betting on a crash. Where are the money in-flows originating? When inflation is better than deflation, all over the world. Markets have factored-in a 25-bp rate cut, but NOT a Fed pause. The problem with forecasting: Predictions must be precise, actionable, and time-specific. Why we watch train wrecks: Why not mandate a 20% correction each year? (Markets are so elevated, a 20% correction would be a drop in the bucket.) What happens if we have a 50% correction?? It'd put us back to where we were in 2020. Why banks failed in 1929 vs today: Depositors would not lose their money (FDIC). 2025 earnings growth estimate are 19% (vs 9% historically). Lance looks at cycles vs trends (Lance's first bank job). Cycle context & psychology. Most cycles are too long to be practical. "We must invest for the time frame in which we have control." Trend-following is better than cyclical tracking. Lance's 60th birthday, cursive writing, and Phoenician writing. The impact of not saving each year: Time frames are critical. SEG-1: Sloppy Trading Ahead SEG-2: Where's the Money Coming From? SEG-3: Why We Watch Train Crashes SEG-4: Cycles vs Trends Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Setting Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuRU3UTCD1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=2s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirrow such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19% above 2023 estimates for 2024. Bitcoin hits $100,000 thanks to President-elect Trump's appointment of a crypto-friendly chief at the SEC. As for expectations for next year, what should investors be watching out for? (Is a liquidity crisis near?) The Fed put too much liquidity into the system during Covid; those record levels of liquidity are fueling FOMO. Institutional investors are highly leveraged, which are dependant upon liquidity. The Fed's real manadate is to protect its member banks and prevent them from failing. Liquidity is now leaking. The Big Red Phone to the Fed. What if Trump really cuts government spending? Entitlement vs Mandatory spending. Looking to 2025: Extreme bullishness depends upon a strong economy; where are the risks? SEG-1: Economic Weaknesses are Emerging SEG-2: Anticipating 2025: What Should We Watch For? SEG-3a: Record Levels of Liquidity are Fueling FOMO SEG-3b: The Fed's Main Mandate SEG-4a: What If Trump Really Cuts Government Spending? SEG-4b: Market Bullishness Depends on Strong Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2019-redux-is-another-liquidity-crisis-near/ "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bitcoin Hits $100,000," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Time for a Portfolio Reality Check" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #LiquidityCrisis #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Russia just learned of a near-miss from a passing meteorite...TONIGHT! Lance discusses GDP estimates and other economic reports; Retail Sales are "okay," with no tell tale signs of Recession...for the moment. What will revisions to these reports show next year? What will be the impact of cutting government spending? Meanwhile, investors are very, very exuberant. What should investors expect for the rest of the year? Lance and Danny discuss old guy things: Backpain. There's a pullback coming: Time for a portfolio reality check? The challenge of portfolio rebalancing when exuberance is high; should you sell winners and buy losers now? Emerging Markets are not growing; losers are cheap for a reason. The danger of doing rebalancing willy-nilly. On being Contrarian: Markets have not rewarded those so inclined. Yet. Does not necessarily mean to be super-bearish. On being "out of consensus; the current set up is good for recession. What will cause it, we don't know. The potential risks to portfolios of reduced government spending. Lance & Danny review the recent Thanksgiving break with family and the concept of paying your own way; demographic trends, and the evolution of Generation-X as "sandwich parents." Kids coming home for the holidays vs "boomerang" kids; first paychecks and stringing Christmas lights (yeah, we were all over the place today!) SEG-1: Meteorites, Russia, & Expectations for the Rest of 2204 SEG-2: Backpain & Pullbacks: Portfolio Rebalancing SEG-3: On Being Contrarian SEG-4a: Thanksgiving Reminiscing & Paying Your Way SEG-4b: The Roberts Kids Home for the Holidays Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, 12-4-24 What to Expect for the Rest of the Year is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ixjd2EjcoZw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. Lance and Jonathan discuss these lessons from history on today's show, plus a discussion on asset diversification, and what happens when all assets become correlated, the fallacies of diversification, and overlap risk. Money mistakes made by the young; the bset stop-loss tools and strategies; the flaw in comparing portfolio performance to the S&P Index (or any index). SEG-1: Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are Up SEG-2: Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us SEG-3: The Fallacies of Diversification SEG-4a: The Best Stop-loss Tool SEG-4b: Comparing Portfolios to S&P Index Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Welcome back from Thanksgiving break: Is it time to initiate Christmas Bonds to help Retailers? While markts have performed well, expect some sloppiness heading into the end of the year. We'll have Black Friday and Cyber Monday results later this week. Meanwhile, markets continue to grind higher. What will be the effects of Trump Administration picks and regulatory changes? High levels of market concentration will result in more volatility from regulatory disruptions. Market complacency in the past is a present risk; Lance looks at the impact of government spending, and a revealing chart of richest/poorest states...and the D.C. A sample of THC Pizza, the Thanksgiving Effect, and stupid housing solutions from Slate. Demographics are destiny: Is the US following Japan? Expect more market volatility in 2025; markets are a function of corporate earnings. It's okay to take speculative bets, but control risk. Commentary on MicroStrategy's strategy of using convertible debt to purchase Bitcoin: What could possibly go wrong? SEG-1: Christmas Bonds & Markets Grind Ever Higher SEG-2: Market Risks for 2025 SEG-3: THC Pizza & Stupid Housing Solutions SEG-4: Expecting Volatility in 2025 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It's a Good Time for Portfolio Clean-up" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Credit Spreads Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Credit spreads can greatly assist in determining the risk of a correction or bear market by reflecting the perceived risk of corporate bonds compared to government bonds. The spread between risky corporate bonds and safer Treasury bonds remains narrow when the economy performs well. This is because investors are confident in corporate profitability and are willing to accept lower yields for higher risks. Conversely, during economic uncertainty or stress, investors demand higher yields for holding corporate debt, causing spreads to widen. This widening often signals investors are growing concerned about future corporate defaults, which could indicate broader economic trouble. Lance and Jonathan explain Credit Spreads, the impact of Credit Spreads on Investments, plus Corporate Bond Yield Analysis and Fixed Income Market Trends. Lance also updates progress on Christmas decor at La Mansion de Roberts, identifies The Most Important Indicator, and the story about Bad Stuffing. Hilarity ensues. Happy Thanksgiving, y'all! SEG-1: Post-election Optimism: Markets Touch 6,000 SEG-2a: Christina's Christmas Tree SEG-2b: Is a Crash Coming? SEG-3: The Most Important Indicator SEG-4a: Bad Stuffing SEG-4b: How to Predict Future Returns Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Credit Spreads: The Markets Early Warning Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/credit-spreads-the-markets-early-warning-indicators/ "Market Forecasts Are Very Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Touch 6,000" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Look for a Holiday Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBrh3-984LU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1184s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CreditSpreads #MarketCrash #RiskOn #RiskOff #InvestmentStrategy #FixedIncome #BondMarket #FinancialEducation #HolidayRally #StockMarketTrends #InvestingSeason #YearEndStocks #FinancialMarkets2024 #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #BadStuffing #MrsRobertsChristmasTree #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Thanksgiving week is spread out before us like a serving table laden with food: Markets will trade in a holiday-shortened week with moods of expectation for high consumer spending. Lance reveals his strategy for Christina's Christmas present. Markets' goal is to generate 50-points, targeting S&P 6,000, despite limited downside. Bond Yields are dropping with Scott Bessent's nomination as Treasury Secretary. The Dollar and Bitcoin are over-bought; correction necessary. How will a Sec'y Bessent affect the national debt? Eliminating Government Debt & Deficits will subtract from corporate profitability; eliminating government spending will trigger recession. Why short-term pain isn't a bad thing in the long-term. Everyone is not expecting recession; What about risk and the CIti Surprise Index. Lance explains Old People behaviors; the strong market outlook for 2025. Lance pontificates on Marriage; the annual profit outlook for 2025; a recap of our Thanksgiving week content schedule. 3:15 - Thanksgiving Week Preview 14:49 - A Fiscal Hawk in the Treasury's Hen House 30:23 - Old People 32:15 - Strong Outlook for 2025 44:34 - Lance on Marriage 52:41 - Nobody Expects Recession Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Forecasts Are Very Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Market Wants to Get to 6,000 " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hfNOalW1rYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "The Best thing About Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgRu1W--X-Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=976s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HolidayRally #StockMarketTrends #InvestingSeason #YearEndStocks #FinancialMarkets2024 #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #GovernmentSpending #GovernmentDebt #GovernmentDeficitg #DollarStrength #BitCoin #ConsumerSpending #ChristmasShopping #Amazon #OldPeopleBehavior #Marriage #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
A preview of risks on the horizon, including Trump Tariffs, interest rates, and how debt and deficits are economic drivers. What are the effects on corporate profitability?Will valuations be problematic next year? Lance revews Nvidia's stellar quarterly report and analysts' expectations for 2025. Bitcoin is tracking WITH the US Dollar, not against it as a de-dollarization asset. CNBC completely misses "first man in space" trivia question (Yuri Gagarin, not Alan Shepherd); Lance & Michael discuss Nvidia's quarterly earnings and obscene, 55% profit margin: Does the company risk losing market share to an competitor willing to work for a piece of that pie? A discussion of the anticipated Trump Tariffs, and their impact on corporate profitability; what potential offsets will exist? What choices will consumers make (potentially refusing to buy), and what is the real impact on inflation in the aggregate: The seen and unseen effects and potential retaliatory tariffs. NOTE: Hoover's tariffs are suspect in making the 1930's Depression worse. Why the US' poorest state, Mississippi, has a higher GDP than the country of France: The cost of government intervention. MicroStrategy, BitCoin, and stupid investor investments. SEG-1: Looking at the Risk-on Horizon SEG-2: Why Nvidia is Still "Cheap" SEG-3: Will Trump Tariffs Really Be Inflationary? SEG-4: Stupid Investor Investments Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VE5okKP_9hM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Doesn't Disappoint" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1rOq_VH06M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Wall Street Lowers 2025 Expectations: Should You Be Concerned?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #MicroStrategy #BitCoin #TrumpTariffs #TradeWarImpact #EconomicOutlook #InflationRisks #GlobalTradeTrends #WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
It's Nvidia Day--markets will respond accordingly tomorrow. Expectations are high for earnings and forward guidance. Analysts are generally looking for lowered expectations in 2025, as President Trump faces a waning economy. Meanwhile, markets have had a good test of support at the 20-DMA. Volatility anticipated in a holiday-shortened trading week next week. Lance and Danny plead for planning ahead at the end of the year, so as not to pile EOY changes on at the last minute. Corporate profitability in 2025: Case studies with WalMart vs Target and the aftertaste of wokeism. Stock picking could be more profitable than ETF investing next year. What happens to retailers who cannot sell their stuff? Lance and Danny look at factors that play into corporate profitability as the rest of the world slows down: We import deflation and export our inflation. The looming battle between the White House and the Fed: What will happen to Jerome Powell? SEG-1: The Challenge for Trump in the 2025 Economy SEG-2: Give Your Financial Advisor a Break! SEG-3: WalMart vs Target - Corporate Profitability in 2025 SEG-4: Retail Sales & The Battle Between the WH vs the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets End 2024 Even Higher Than Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZUtOduj4Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Yardini & The Long History of Prediction Problems" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
WalMart reports it's close to profitability; expect some market chop this week; NVIDIA reports Wednesday evening, and markets will respond on Thursday. A look at the performance of the Top Ten Stocks: Everyone wants to be in on the US Markets. Markets on Tuesday dropped to bounce off the 20-DMA, and continue to run along the ever-rising trend line. Expect some volatility ahead of next month's Fed meeting and anticipated 25-bp rate cut. Watch out for a shift in language to a more dovish stance. Economist Ed Yardeni believes markets' upward momentum will continue, and has revised his long-term forecast to project that the S&P 500 will reach 10,000 by 2029. Lance and Jonathan discuss these aspects, as well as markets' "animal spirits" and consumer confidence. Borrowing from the future: Markets are outpacing what the economy can produce; rising wages vs corporate profits are incongruent; the effects of decreasing government spending and tariffs; why ebullient predictions always fail. Lance explores a new IG channel for his wife; hilarity ensues. What should you ask and expect from a financial advisor? Lance & Jon discuss the work that we do. SEG-1: Everyone Wants In the US Markets SEG-2 New Website & Yardini Rebuttal SEG-3a: Stupid Things & Watching Tyspn SEG-3b: Borrowing From the Future & Problem w Predictions SEG-4a: The Baked Baker SEG-4b: Expectations for Your Financial Advisor Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Doves Return to the Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZBtzLJWhGg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: ""Trump Trade" Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CvFZe_0Yf4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2754s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
It's the last full week of trading before Thanksgiving. Expectations for US GDP growth in the new year are on the plus side of 3%, vs the EU's negative exepctations: Where do you want to put your money? First place the "Government Efficiency Department" can start is at the Department of Defense, failing its past seven audits. Risks are building in certain market areas where “Trump Trade” exuberance has likely exceeded the grasp of underlying fundamental realities. While investors were a bit skittish heading into the election, the clean Republican sweep of the Presidency, House, and Senate has sent investors scrambling to add exposure across all market assets. While the “Trump Trade” certainly has some legs, lower taxes, deregulation, and tariffs will not solve many companies’ ” sales “ problems. But that is the beauty of speculation: rising prices increase speculation, which leads to higher prices. Lance shares his weekend excurion to The Warehouse at Texas A&M; valuations as short-term tools vs long term fundamentals. Post-election optimism at an all time high; the set up for markets now is very different from 2016. Could BitCoin hit $100,000? Why we don't have it in our 60/40 portfolio: Too volatile. Understanding risk psychology; why we've got about five years remaining to make real money in the markets. SEG-1: Great Expectations for US GDP Growth SEG-2a: An Aggie Christmas SEG-2b: Valuations & Risks in Cutting Government Spending SEG-3: Understanding Bitcoin & Risk Psychology SEG-4: Short-term vs Long-term Market Perspectives Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Assets Keeping You Awake? Sell 'em!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Math Behind the MACD" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Just ahead of the Christmas Retail Shopping Season, credit card debt is piling up; consumers are under stress. Survey: What to do when an item is too expensive? What will be the actual effect of tariffs? What economists think vs how consumers react. Meanwhile, markets sold off Wednesday, then rallied back for a positive close: Participants are unwilling to sell, expecting markets to continue to rise; Bitcoin is melting up, Gold is getting beaten up, the Russell 2000 enjoys a post-election pop. Lance covers YouTube Chat etiquette, and with Michael Lebowitz discusses the latest CPI print and the problem with homeowners equivalent rent as 40% of the CPI calculation. What about the PPI? The Fed's biggest task is calming the markets. Markets are only listening to what they want to hear. Lance shares his Top Five Technical Analysis Tools. When we discuss technical analysis in our articles and podcasts, we often examine the moving average convergence divergence indicator, better known as the MACD, or colloquially the Mac D. The MACD is one of our favored technical indicators to help forecast prices and manage risk. The MACD is the difference between a short moving average and a longer moving average. The MACD line tells us if there is a trend in place and whether its momentum is increasing or decreasing. Lance and Michael share how to use MACD in your trading strategy as part of your suite of technical analysis tools. SEG-1: Economists' Thoughts vs Consumers' Actions SEG-2: CPI & The Problem With Homeowners' Equivalent Rent SEG-3: Markets Are Only Listening to What They Want to Hear SEG-4: Technical Analysis & The Math of MACD Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The MACD: A Guide To This Powerful Momentum Gauge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-macd-a-guide-to-this-powerful-momentum-gauge/ "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Market Participants are Unwilling to Sell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJeDa7V9Z3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Annuities: Good, Bad, & Ugly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6X1QEdhShs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2720s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #InvestingTips #InvestmentAdvice #CPI #PPI #FinancialPlanning #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
It's Inflation Day: Expectations are for a .3% print for October (the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported CPI rising.2%, and up 2.6% over the past 12-months). Remember, it's only a guess; why inflation is destined to rise. Stocks remain over-bought; watch for pre-Thanksgiving volatility; more than half in our Twitter poll sees the S&P at 6,200 by EOY. Why are investors expecting more rate cuts in 2025? Lance & Danny present an Annuity Primer: Why most annuities are sold, not planned for; Lance's Three Rules for Annuities; the different annuity types. Annuities often sacrifice liquidity; protect yourself from yourself. Why annuities are not for everyone. How to win: Out-live the actuarial table! SEG-1: Inflation Day Expectations SEG-2: The Annuity Primer, Pt.1 - Why Most Annuitites are Sold, not Planned SEG-3: The Annuity Primer, Pt.2 - Calculating the Expenses SEG-4: The Annuity Primer, Pt.3 - Why Annuities Aren't for Everyone Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6X1QEdhShs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2720s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the S&P Hit 6,200?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuOdEkfM6UA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Irrational Exuberance...Again?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AnnuityInsights #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentAdvice #AnnuityProsCons #FinancialPlanning #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Earnings Season is winding up, and The Next Big Report to come will be from NVIDIA on 11/20. Markets are on fire for now; what will the Fed do next? We're expecting one more rate cut in December, and then a pause. This week's inflation print could be higher due to YOY comparisons. Mutual Fund Distributions are coming in December; do not be alarmed! The post-election market is on a tear: invesetors are more exuberant than ever. Everybody is betting on everything to go up. A pullback to the 20-DMA is coming, setting up the market for a rally into year end. Lance and Jonathan discuss mutual fund distributions and anticipated portfolio variations. How will markets responsd to Trump policies and government employment levels. Lance's entreprenurial son offers "boyfriends" services for Thanksgiving. Lance & Jonathan parse the pro's and con's of bond portfolios. Investors can have any of the two: Capital appreciation, safety, or liquidity. The problems with 100% bond portfolio, and the impossibility of high income with no risk. Yield is a function of risk: There is no such thing as no-risk (things companies do to stay in business). Markets' exuberance comes with a price: Policy chances will have consequences. Is the 60/40 Portfolio dead? SEG-1: Post-election Markets are on Fire SEG-2: What Mutual Fund Distribution Time Means* SEG-3a: Tommy's Rent-a-Boyfriend Enterprise SEG-3b: The Pro's & Con's of Bond Portfolios SEG-4: There's No Such Thing as No Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer * So we had a software glitch during this morning's live-stream, and lost about :50-seconds of content in this recording at about the :18-minute mark. ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZtz1S3R3WQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2635s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Everybody's Betting on Everything Going Up" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AISGEpmtMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why COLA Doesn't Get Any Respect" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
The markets' response to the election outcome, combined with Thursday's Fed rate cut: Markets love it, but half the country (metro areas) are not happy. Avoid knee-jerk responses; next year could be very different. What to do with Bonds: Know what your goal is. Rich & Danny discuss home-bias investing vs international markets: Where're you gonna go? Expect more volatility and more disappointment. Rich explains 'Goal Scooping:' Do it now. Markets love gridlock in D.C.; market performance with blue vs red waves. A discussion of the new Roberts' home vs the set of "Lioness..." Why COLA gets no respect; the compounding effect on COLA; why policy failures are expensive; the paucity of fiscal education today. How COLA is calculated; how to fix Social Security? Eliminate wage base. (Rich's Halloween review.) The value of a financial advisor: Grill prospective advisors; maximizing tax-effective diversification. How organized sports have become a big business...and a money grab on families' budgets. SEG-1: Avoid Knee-jerk Responses to Election Results SEG-2a: Home Bias Investing vs International Markets SEG-2b: COLA & The Compounding Effect SEG-3: Why Policy Failure is Expensive SEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor: Diversification for Taxes Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Arrives!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #COLA #CostOfLivingAdjustment #Compounding #FiscalEducation #InternationalMarkets #GoalScooping #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #Halloween #Lioness #ZoeSaldana #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving 96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say. SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting Preview SEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next? SEG-3: Economic Reporting Preview SEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
The 2024 Election outcome is sharply affecting pre-market, with Donald Trump's election sending stocks higher. The S&P trendline is aiming for the 6000 or 6100 level. The question that remains is whether markets can sustain that trend. This time is different from the previous Trump win: Interest rates are falling and tax rates are lower now; yet, there are still plenty of questions for investors: what will Trump's tax policy be? What will be the over all impact on the economy? (The Tax Foundation predicts .8% impact to GDP.) Still to be seen in the Congress: What happens with a Republican sweep? What will the Tariff effect be? Fiscal dominance is not an issue. The Fed is likely to reverse QE to QT. What if Trump initiates a round of major infrastructure spending/investment? One thing is clear: Don't chase markets today. If you weren't already in, it will be tough do so now. What are the risks from the Fed and poor holiday retail sales? What are possible effects of a Musk-led "Government Efficiency" Dept.? Some of the things we need to fix will produce negative effect from doing so. Could reducing government trigger Recession? Avoid FOMO today; what matters will be post-inauguration. Lance and Danny discuss the importance of being able to adapt to changing policies; markets are going to do what they do. Love it or hate it, Congress is very much controlled by corporate lobbying interests. Market pullbacks will be short-lived. Buy the dips when you can. Lance explains positioning on Bonds now. SEG-1: Trump Win to Send Stocks Higher SEG-2: The What-if's of Trumpian Policy SEG-3: Don't Chase Markets Today SEG-4: Don't Make Investing Decisions Based on Political Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Does Trump Win Translate into S&P 6000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdiZEF5mrVc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Election Day: Plan for Volatility" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact#ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Will the 2025 Election be The Most Important Election Ever? Yes...until 2028. Vote for the policy, not the personality: Child Care Credits case study. Markest are hangin' on ahead of the election, setting up for a post-election rally.Bond yields are the result of pre-election positioning; bond auction is next week. It's hard to buy when it's unpopular. Why are Small Caps having a hard time: They're not growing earnings. Most sensitive to difficult economy. Understand what gives stocks long term growth; will economic growth slow to "normal" next year? Don't expect 20% grwoth in 2025. Markets' historical post-election performance & government stimulus; why you have about six years remaining to make as much money as your can before the end of the current, bullish market cycle. Ignore emotion in the media. Expectations for a contested election & congressional gridlock: Lance review historical market performance from various election outcomes. For now, we're waiting on the Fed, expected to lower rates another quarter-point this week. Reviewing employment data for retailers ahead of holiday shopping season (What Mrs. Roberts wants for Christmas) Turkey down & The Hallmark channel. Stocks we wish we had bought: Palantir, up 200% this year. Earnings preview: Ferrari, SuperMicro SEG-1: Vote Policies, Not Personalities SEG-2: Don't Expect 20% Growth in 2025 SEG-3: Why You Have Six Years to Make As Much Money As You Can SEG-4: This, too, Shall Pass - Waiting on the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Table is Set for Post-election Rally" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opnKzoHrODs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
It's 2024 Election-eve: Hedge funds are long on a presumed outcome; watch for a pick up in volatility. The Fed meets on the day after the election; there are still about 100 S&P Companies left to report. Reference Lance's weekend article on buy backs, Wolf in Sheep's Clothing: Apple spent $100-B on stock buy backs, when they could have purchased Intel for $99-B and produced their own chips. But, no. investors should do nothing on this day before the election; any move you make could be wrong. RIP Quincy Jones & Peanuts the Squirrel; Earnings Season Beat Rates are still elevated 80% (w charts). Roughly 10% of earnings are manufactured, and these are boosted by buy backs. Jerome Powell commentary this week will depend upon election outcome; he doesn't know yet. Lance' discussion on interest rates and debt overhang: Remember the Fed's job is to protect the banks. Lending money into existence is how economy works. Interest Rates are like a virus. Expectations are for a .25-bp rate cut. The IRS is raising the 401k max contribution ceiling by $500 to $23,500 for 2025. How "later" shows up tomorrow. Saving is a discipline. SEG-1: Markets on Standstill SEG-2: Earnings Season Beat Rates Still Elevated SEG-3: Interest Rates Are Like a Virus SEG-4: 401k Ceilings & the Discipline of Saving Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Do Anything Today" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ureIqdQOgyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Money Smart Things To Do Before Year's End" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #401kCeiling #SavingsDiscipline #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
2024 isn’t over yet. So here are 10 smart money moves to make right now. Saving money should be a year-round endeavor, but life gets in the way just like anything else. So with 2024 coming to a swift, thankful end, take advantage of the fourth quarter to accelerate your financial acumen, bolster your balance sheet and successfully springboard into the new year. Danny and Matt share year-end financial planning tips , smart money moves, and tax-saving strategies for the end of the year; plus investment adjustments for year-end, and a personal finance checklist for 2024. SEG-1: Investors Are Too Focused on Near-Term SEG-2: When Will Valuations Matter Again? SEG-3: Open Enrollment Strategies SEG-4: Year End To-do's Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Best Since 2018" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Fact-checking Paul Tudor Jones & Stanley Druckenmiller" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esqhIBreVZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YearEndPlanning #SmartMoneyMoves #TaxSavings #FinancialChecklist #PersonalFinanceTips #EarningsSeason #LoweredExpectations #PaulTudorJones #StanleyDruckenmiller #MarketOutlook #InvestmentPredictions #HedgeFundInsights #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Earnings Season continues as October ends: Microsoft and Meta reports reveal lowered expectations for 2025; Microstrategy is raising stakes on Bitcoin w $42-B buy: Will prove to be either brilliant or disastrous (only 6% of Bitcoin owners are active users); Apple & Amazon results will reveal more about consumer spending. Can famed investors Paul Tudor Jones and Stan Druckenmiller, who recently proclaimed they are short bonds, thus betting on higher yields, be wrong? Looking at trends in Deficits, Debt, and their relationship to GDP; 2019 vs 2025: Is this time really different? What Money Supply is really doing. SEG-1: What Earnings Are Saying About Consumer Spending SEG-2: Convertible Bonds & Markets Seeking Perfection SEG-3: Can Paul Tudor Jones & Stanley Drunkenmiller Be Wrong? SEG-4: Deficits, Debt, & GDP Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esqhIBreVZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller Be Wrong?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-paul-tudor-jones-and-stanley-druckenmiller-be-wrong/ "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Best Since 2018" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Why this Bull Market Feels Weird" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSkBraqrjmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2989s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #LoweredExpectations #PaulTudorJones #StanleyDruckenmiller #MarketOutlook #InvestmentPredictions #HedgeFundInsights #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Halloween preview & earnings parade; pre-election bond market auction action. Markets are hedging a bit ahead of elections. The latest JOLTS report was weaker than expected - more evidence of a slowing economy? Meanwhile, consumer confidence continues to confound, bouncing up in the latest Conference Board Confidence Index reading, especially for forward expectations for stock prices into 2025. Lance reviews International, Emerging Markets, and Dollar performance. Markets "are not doing nothin'" until after the election. Lance & Danny discuss what happens after that. Political posturing is a problem: Data vs Opinion. Why markets love gridlock, but appear to be positioning for a Trump win. How many Funds outperform the S&P (chart); this data does not show who the managers were! "I want a one-star Fund on its way to five-stars." A comment on why intrinsic value doesn't matter; bond ratings & pay-for-play. The problem with ratings systems: No real-time monitoring/reporting. What we didn't know: The Lehman story. "High Yield" is a proxy for junk. Why ETF's underperform their indexes. Why don't we sing pumpkin carols? Could raging bull John Paulson be the next Treasury Sec'y.? How thoughtful would slashing government spending be? A final tease for more complete discussion on "intrinsic value." SEG-1: Markets Are Hedging Ahead of Elections SEG-2a: What Happens After the Election? SEG-2b: How Many Funds Outperform the S&P? SEG-3: Bond Ratings Happen in the Rear View Mirror SEG-4: The Challenge of Cutting Government Spending Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSkBraqrjmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2989s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, " Why No One is Willing to Buy or Sell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh_WPCQ11qk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
A barrage of earnings reports this week reveals companies are beating lowered expectations, and revenue is down. McDonald's foot traffic is off (and interesting economic barometer); the story is surely unfolding of an economy that is slowing down. What do markets sell signals tell us? There are two ways for markets to correct: Consolidation, or pull back in prices. Lance rants on the realities of stock buy backs, and a sidebar from Jonathan on coffee habits; How will markets behave if the election is contested? Markets are very long on risk assets ahead of election; paralysis by analysis: Does not have to be "all-or-none." A look at the performance of our "all-weather" portfolio, and our bond strategies moving forward. A discussion on Gold, Gold Miners, and other commodities: Very economically sensitive and volatile. What if the economy collapses and we don't go back on Gold standard? It's all about balance (Remember the Hunt Brothers' silver fiasco). What to do about solicitation to "lock-in higher yields" in Bond accounts: Understanding high yield = junk bonds, generally NOT investment-grade. SEG-1: Earnings Are Beating Lowered Expectations (yay) SEG-2: The Ugly Reality of Stock Buy Backs SEG-3: The All-Weather Portfolio & Bond Strategy Moving Forward SEG-4: Commodities' Economic Sensitivity & Volatility Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Sell Signals Don't Mean Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjPmDHAR4Nw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Streaks Of Bullish Wins Are Not Sustainable" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
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