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Inhoud geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. Alle podcastinhoud, inclusief afleveringen, afbeeldingen en podcastbeschrijvingen, wordt rechtstreeks geüpload en geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts of hun podcastplatformpartner. Als u denkt dat iemand uw auteursrechtelijk beschermde werk zonder uw toestemming gebruikt, kunt u het hier beschreven proces https://nl.player.fm/legal volgen.
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10-1-24 How Long Can The Everything Market Last
Manage episode 443007266 series 1586737
Inhoud geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. Alle podcastinhoud, inclusief afleveringen, afbeeldingen en podcastbeschrijvingen, wordt rechtstreeks geüpload en geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts of hun podcastplatformpartner. Als u denkt dat iemand uw auteursrechtelijk beschermde werk zonder uw toestemming gebruikt, kunt u het hier beschreven proces https://nl.player.fm/legal volgen.
It's a big news week: The Dock Workers' strike has begun, Israel is launching a land assault into Lebanon, and celebrity deaths (Pete Rose, Kris Kristofferson) top the news. And Jimmy Carter turns 100. Meanwhile, Q3 Earnings Season commences after three very strong quarters of business in what has been one the of the best presidential years since the 1950's. A correction at this point would be healthy for markets. We think there will be a 3- to 5% correction before elections, creating room for markets to rally into year's end. Lance's rant on the Coffee Pod scam, and the SEC doesn't have far to look (Congress!) for insider trading. Lance and Jon look at market performance, global money flows, and observe the 'everything market.' Commentary on potential disruption by dock workers' strike. YouTube likes & paywalls; there are two more Fed meetings in 2024; how many rate cuts to come? For inestors in search of dividend growth, the challenges are in an 'everything market:' there must be buyers AND sellers. No more T-bil & chill. Why "getting back to even" is a investor trap. SEG-1: Dock Workers' Strike & Earnings Season Begin SEG-2a: Coffee Rant & Insider Trading SEG-2b: How Long Can the Everything Market Last? SEG-3: How Big a Deal Will the Port Strike Be? SEG-4: Two More Fed Meetings to Go: How Many Cuts? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EverythingMarket #DockWorkersStrike #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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1939 afleveringen
Manage episode 443007266 series 1586737
Inhoud geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. Alle podcastinhoud, inclusief afleveringen, afbeeldingen en podcastbeschrijvingen, wordt rechtstreeks geüpload en geleverd door The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts of hun podcastplatformpartner. Als u denkt dat iemand uw auteursrechtelijk beschermde werk zonder uw toestemming gebruikt, kunt u het hier beschreven proces https://nl.player.fm/legal volgen.
It's a big news week: The Dock Workers' strike has begun, Israel is launching a land assault into Lebanon, and celebrity deaths (Pete Rose, Kris Kristofferson) top the news. And Jimmy Carter turns 100. Meanwhile, Q3 Earnings Season commences after three very strong quarters of business in what has been one the of the best presidential years since the 1950's. A correction at this point would be healthy for markets. We think there will be a 3- to 5% correction before elections, creating room for markets to rally into year's end. Lance's rant on the Coffee Pod scam, and the SEC doesn't have far to look (Congress!) for insider trading. Lance and Jon look at market performance, global money flows, and observe the 'everything market.' Commentary on potential disruption by dock workers' strike. YouTube likes & paywalls; there are two more Fed meetings in 2024; how many rate cuts to come? For inestors in search of dividend growth, the challenges are in an 'everything market:' there must be buyers AND sellers. No more T-bil & chill. Why "getting back to even" is a investor trap. SEG-1: Dock Workers' Strike & Earnings Season Begin SEG-2a: Coffee Rant & Insider Trading SEG-2b: How Long Can the Everything Market Last? SEG-3: How Big a Deal Will the Port Strike Be? SEG-4: Two More Fed Meetings to Go: How Many Cuts? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EverythingMarket #DockWorkersStrike #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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1939 afleveringen
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The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

We introduce Sarah Buenger, CFP, our in-house college funding expert and Professor of Financial Planning at Texas A&M University. Richard discusses diversification in portfolios vs "sext" stocks, sector rotation, and the Fed's Jobs preview; sentiment doesn't match the markets. Tariff s vs protectionism: disruption is what markets dislike the most. A discussion about social security, and DOGE vs SSA: What is likely to happen? Setting SSA COLA to GDP-E for Seniors; the wisdom in waiting to take SS. Planning for college; FAFSA, Learning Credits, and scholarships. Never fully fund college savings 100%; what to do with left over college fund money? The benefits of taking dual-credit courses in high school. Review AP Classes: Not all universities treat these the same. Not all scholarships require SAT/ACT scores; sports scholarships are typical fractional to pull in more athletes. Finding/applying for scholarships should be a full time summer job for Juniors. SEG-1: Portfolio Diversification vs Sexy Stocks SEG-2: DOGE vs SSA: What Will Happen Next? SEG-3: College Funding Tactics: Learning Credits & Scholarships SEG-4: Dual Credits & AP Classes: Not all Universities are Equal Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CH6au_1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste/ "Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/ "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets to Retest 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r57nK-lMtQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CollegeFunding #StudentLoans #FinancialAid #529Plan #DebtFreeCollege #EmploymentReport #AtlantaGDP #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Lance is preparing for Spring Break Vacation next week (3/10-14); Market rallied Wednesday on possible delays of tariff impositions on Automobiles. Lance reviews potential new tax deductions like we used to have. Deportation forecasts: Previous events did not crash markets. Investor and positioning sentiment are still very negative. (At this point in the broadcast, our streaming connection was lost; the complete audio can be heard on our various audio podcast platforms, listed below.) Is the economy slipping, or are the markets just anxious? Lance and Michael talk about he Atlanta Fed GDP Now report; what will be the next crisis: the Debt Ceiling? Will the Fed halt Quantitative Easing (QT)? How the repeal of Rule 157 resulted in fantasy valuations vs Mark to Market. "This is Water" SEG-1a: Market Rally on Possible Delay of Tariffs on Autos SEG-1b: Before the Bell Complete Audio SEG-2:Is the Economy Slipping or Just Anxious (Complete Audio) SEG-3: Assessing the Atlanta Fed's GDP Now Report SEG-4: Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste/ "Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/ "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets to Retest 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r57nK-lMtQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tariff Turmoil," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retest200DMA #EmploymentReport #AtlantaGDP #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
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The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

President Donald Trump's speech last night kept us up late, running nearly two-hours outlining his plan to offset lower tax revenues with tariffs on other countries. A discussion on reciprocal tariffs; how markets work; where earnings growth comes fromn. Markets are now re-pricing the impact of tariffs (Chart of stock valuations heat map). Lance and Danny discuss the ebb and flow of the U.S. Dollar, and buzzword headlin-generators: The latest is Stagflation. Most do not know the three elements required: Low growth, high inflation, and high unemployment. The Tru-flation index has collapsed, and markets are re-pricing the effects of tariffs. Lance and Danny address the importance of managing emotions and investor behavior/psychology. Why sometimes, the best thing to do is to do nothing. Why eggs prices have nothing to do with inflation. The Value of a Financial Advisor: To make sure income growth exceeds inflation growth. Lance & Danny discuss the viability of international and emerging markets stocks. SEG-1: Trump Speech & Bearish Sentiment SEG-2: The Truth About Tariffs SEG-3: Ebbs & Flow of US Dollar & Tariffs SEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/ "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Have Markets Found the Bottom?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXM-nqDppmI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What To Do When Everyone is Bearish." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qCTzhxdR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Tariffs take effect as markets are in mid-correction; investors are extremely bearish. Tariffs only impact production side; consumers may choose not to buy at elevated prices. Lance and Jonathan discuss avocados vs mangos. Markets continue to trade in a broad, large range; markets are seeking an interim bottom. Markets are over sold, and money flows are reversing. Is Christina Lance's Agent 99? Trade Wars, Tariffs, & Inflation: Trade War II effects (charts); Bullish sentiment is at lowest level since 2022; loss aversion psychology. A look at diversification and the role of Bonds; how we build our portfolios (more charts). WWWBB: What would Warren Buffett buy (or sell); why 13-F's are revealing reading (but remember, they're only updated quarterly!) A discussion of portfolio weighting theory; Turtle Trading; nibbling on developed international stocks? All are on the brink of recession. SEG-1: Tariffs Take Effect SEG-2: Get Smart, Trade Wars, & Inflation SEG-3: Diversification & Bonds: SEG-4: What Would Warren Buffett Buy? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qCTzhxdR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/ "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Adjust for Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnxrpS-GXw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Markets March Ahead?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjvhaHHDQvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #Tariffs #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #GetSmart #WarrenBuffett #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Will Donald Trump's Crypto-reserve translate into a boon for tech stocks and cryptocurrencies? The Atlanta Fed GDP shows negative growth: This does not mean recessionary. Front loading of purchases ahead of tariff imposition will result in pullback from anticipated purchasing later in the year, affecting profits. March is a seasonally strong month. A look at the market rally and rotation trades; the economy is not bad, but pullbacks are coming from DOGE cuts in government spending and job losses, and the impact of fewer immigrants for hiring. (Where are most jobs now being created?) The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is in contraction. Removing government bloat is not without consequence. Don't under-estimate the impact of government policy and hiring on the economy. Lance next discusses the elevated risk appetite of Gen-X investors, who have never known anything but an ever-climbing market climate; the impact of financial crisis & dealin with risk. Lance reviews his essay, "CAPE-5: A Different Measure of Valuation." Valuations reflect sentiment; is "easy-street" for investors coming to an end? SEG-1: Trump's Crypto Reserve: Rally in Tech? SEG-2: Market Rallies & Rotation Trade SEG-3: Don't Underestimate Impact of Gov't Hiring SEG-4: CAPE-5: A Different Measure of Valuation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjvhaHHDQvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Negative Sentiment will Fuel Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnxrpS-GXw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Instant Results Coming from Social Security Fairness Act" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
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The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

Rich & Matt share thoughts about the late Gene Hackman, followed by market commentary and Bitcoin's behavior: It's NOT a diversifier, but quite speculative. Observations about market performance during the first year of a new presidency. Rich shares his childhood wardrobe prompts (Gene Hackman), and talks PCE preview and the price of eggs. A look at the Social Security Fairness Act provisions that appear to provide back pay to some retirees, effective immediately. Some are in for a windfall as a result of the elimination of the Windfall Elimination Provision in the Social Security Fairness act. Rich and Matt discuss Social Security Reform Updates, Windfall Elimination Provision is Explained, along with Government Pension Offset Changes, and how some retiree benefits could increase almost immediately. A few choice words about the SSA and IRS computer systems. Health is connected to wealth; the Taste of Texas acquires an amazing artifact; Lance publishes his tome on CAPE-5 Valuation. Richard addresses the creation of a personal rate of return you need to know; Bitcoin is not going to bail out your weakened portfolio. Be realistic in your forward-looking estimates. SEG-1a: Gene Hackman Obit SEG-1b: Why Bitcoin is Not a Diversifier SEG-2a: Wardrobe Cues from Gene Hackman SEG-2b: Core PCE Preview & Egg Inflation SEG-2c: Social Security Fairness Act Immediacy SEG-3: Health, Wealth, & CAPE-5 Valuation SEG-4: Creating a Personal Rate of Return Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumers Are Losing Confidence" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/ "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/ "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Beats - What Now?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Beats - What Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurityFairness #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #FinancialJustice #WeDeserveBetter #MarketRally #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #EggPrices #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Earnings season is all but done after last night's Q4 Report from Nvidia, which beat estimates, but did not inspire markets. The next dynamic to affect markets will be the closing of the buy back window ahead of Q2 Earnings reporting season. Investor behavior and market psychology is as bearish as ever. We're now seeing risk-off rotation; Lance revisits the effective use of stop-loss settings, and the importance of allowing market activity to mature. Nvidia underwhelms despite beating estimates; this is why fundamentals matter. Could Nvidia become the next "cash cow," a la Apple? RIP, Gene Hackman. Lance and Michael discuss creating liquidity out of debt, and the Fed's Reverse Repo tool. Recent Fed minutes hint at tweaking liquidity ahead of debt ceiling adjustments. Investor psychology and levels of bearishness not unlike pre-crash mentality. This may be the year with high volatility and markets go nowhere. How to be more rational? Adjust views of markets in varying time-spans (weekly, monthly) vs hourly and daily. Double-down or get out? Avoid anchoring on purchase price. SEG-1: Markets Unimpressed w Nvidia Beat SEG-2: Nvidia Beats: Why Fundamentals Matter SEG-3: RIP Gene Hackman; Creating Liquidity from Debt SEG-4: Behavioral Economics: Managing Your Inner Voice Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumers Are Losing Confidence" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Avoid an Inheritance Nightmare" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #MarketVolatility #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
It's Nvidia Day today; no matter what happens on Wall Street, tomorrow's activity will hinge on tonight's report. PCE revealed on Friday: This is the one the Fed watches, and it's expected to be weaker. Interestingly, Bonds have outperformed stocks, YTD, so far. Lance discovers RentTheChicken.com; hilarity ensues. Markets take out the 100-DMA, but rally forward; a discussion on stop-losses and knee-jerk reactions. Lance and Jonathan discuss their wives' proclivities based on the latest TikTok video: Chickens, fainting goats, and ducks. The Nvidia story: Is AI going to be "the next Internet?" Nvidia's forward guidance tonight will be all that matters; the consequences of improper estate planning; dealing with mortality. The interpretation of Consumer Confidence Surveys: what's the database? They're more a sample of psychology than economics; the economy IS slowing, but it's not recessionary, but more of a return to pre-pandemic "normal." What is the impact of Federal employee firings? Drill-down into the data; What is the source? Sentiment surveys and expectations are skewed by political preferences. The concern about tariffs: Can companies pass along the increased costs to consumers? SEG-1: Nvidia Day w Markets in Corrective Phase SEG-2a: Chickens, Goats, & Ducks on TikTok SEG-2b: Nvidia and "the Next Internet" SEG-3: Consequences of Improper Estate Planning SEG-4: Interpreting Consumer Confidence Surveys Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Due for a Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJZdgesfEqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #EstatePlanning #InheritanceTips #WealthManagement #FinancialLegacy #TrustsAndWills #RaisingChickens #RentaChicken #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index falls to -4.3: Looks like the data is catching up with reality. Excess Savings Metric: Most are in no better financial shape than before the pandemic; implications to companies' earnings that the bottom 90% are beginning to struggle. Markets challenged the 50-DMA and failed on Monday; likely to be in a corrective phase for a while. "If I were President, the first thing I would do..." Lance and Jonathan solve all problems: Cleaning up D.C. first, and the changes are not going to be without pain. Analysts are extremely optimistic in their earnings estimates for 2026; investors should be careful about over-paying for stocks priced based on these estimates. What Valuation really means: Sentiment. The Schiller CAPE Ratio vs Lance's 5-yar CAPE Ratio (coming attraction!) Investing like Tiger-21 investors: High Net-worth investors' portfolio allocations; key to success is in assets that are not correlated to smooth out volatility. What is true diversification. Why NOT put assets (Gold, Real Estate) into an IRA? Lance and Jonathan provide sound advice here. Is the DOGE Dividend a good idea? Better ways to maximize fat-cutting savings without igniting more inflation. SEG-1: Economic Data is Catching Up w Reality SEG-2: Cleaning up D.C. & Optimistic Analysts SEG-3a What Valuations Really Mean SEG-3b: High Net-worth Investors & Private Equity SEG-4a: Why Not Put Assets in IRA? SEG-4b: The DOGE Dividend: Best Practices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/ "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets In Corrective Phase," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w_Qnw3WH9qU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "New Coronavirus Discovery Shakes Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CoronavirusDiscovery #StockMarketForecast #AnalystEstimates #ParabolicStocks #EarningsSeason #MarketTrends #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
Lance has come up with a new business model for a Help Desk subscription service. It works on anything. The problem with margin debt; there's no appetite for IPO's. What Wall st. is doing instead. market sell off on Friday more the result of volatility around options expiration than Wuhan Lab news of the second coming of Covid. Don't expect any reflex rally today to hold. Economic indicators continue to hint at weaknesses; be aware of the content feeding sentiment surveys. There is a Republican and Democrat dynamic to the data and its interpretation. Two expectations feed into term Premium. Coming this week: The second revision to Q4 GDP (as opposed to China's one-and-done reporting. Or else.) PCE inflation report preview. Will markets ever never focus on Data next-day-ism? (no.) Lance recounts his first exposure to investing, 'Learning from Mr. Lehman." Reading the WSJ, the news was days-old, and average stock holding period was 7-years; contrast with velocity of information today, and average stock holding period not is 4-months. Markets have become like casinos (and the house always wins). What does all of this have to do with margin debt? Short-termism & Market casinos: knowing the rules. Margin debt vs stock prices. The velocity of increase in margin debt is alarming: It provides buying power on the way up, but also adds fuel for selling power on the way down. Margin calls create mandatory selling. SEG-1: Market Correction Not Unexpected SEG-2: Economic Indicators Continue to Show Weakness SEG-3: Learning from Mr. Lehman SEG-4: Short-termism, Market Casino's, and Margin Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets' Reflex Rally Hold?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I41LvgZmcZc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Bears Come Out of Hibernation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends#InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
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The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

1 2-21-25 When Bears Come Out of Hibernation 1:32:53
1:32:53
Later Afspelen
Later Afspelen
Lijsten
Vind ik leuk
Leuk1:32:53
Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappucino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at how retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies. SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must Pay SEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset Class SEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset Laws SEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance Investing SEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're Green SEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for Longevity SEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare Billing SEG-8: Retirement is All About Income Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Im4-UkJTRuM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
T
The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

1 2-21-25 When Bears Come Out of Hibernation 1:32:53
1:32:53
Later Afspelen
Later Afspelen
Lijsten
Vind ik leuk
Leuk1:32:53
Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappuccino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at hour retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies. SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must Pay SEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset Class SEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset Laws SEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance Investing SEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're Green SEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for Longevity SEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare Billing SEG-8: Retirement is All About Income Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
he latest Fed Meeting Minutes are out with a bit of insight; Trump's economic policies appear to be deflationary, as consumer strength is weakening; WalMart and Costco are tempering their forward guidance in anticipation. Palantir CEO is selling LOTS of shares as the Defense Dept. is being pushed by DOGE to cut spending. Market pullbacks may offer investors' opportunity; markets continue to do well, but there's a dichotomy between weighted indexes and those with less concentration of Mag-7 stocks. Money flows are still positive, with a surge into the survivors of the SPAC craze phase: More speculative mood. And then there's the "Alien ETF..." Can the Fed stop QT while debt ceiling is under consideration; the the Fed isn't saying about driving liquidity by pausing QT. Cane's vs KFC (we're now identifying generational preferences for fried chicken??) Is the Fed handcuffing itself with the stickiness of inflation vs rising yields? The Fed is setting its own trap with no two-way street on interest rates. Why the Fed needs to keep its mouth shut! The US dollar is the only lawful money in the United States. While some think Bitcoin can supplant the dollar, they fail to acknowledge that it has significant flaws, which we believe are critical to understanding why Bitcoin should not be lawful money. Lance and Michael discuss Bitcoin vs US Dollar, Cryptocurrency and Fiat Currency, and the concept of Bitcoin as Legal Tender, plus the future of Bitcoin and USD, and Digital Currency vs Traditional Money. Why Bitcoin will not replace the Dollar; the supply of money is important; the issue of value volatility: Bitcoin pricing is not dependable. To have a dynamic economy, a dynamic currency is required; Dollars still make the world go round. Currency must correlate with markets. SEG-1: Deflationary Trump Policies & Weakening Consumers SEG-2: Money Surges into SPAC Veterans SEG-3a: Cane's vs KFC SEG-3b: Is the Fed Handcuffing Itself? SEG-4: Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace The Dollar" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-bitcoin-will-not-replace-the-dollar/ "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What You Should Do with a Severance Package," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
The New York Fed Reports an improving economy, and Nvidia cues up its next quarterly report after recovering from the DeepSeek dip. The Fed is on hold, and positive money flows abound on Wall Street. There are no real indicators we're on the cusp of destruction...for now. 2026 EPS estimates are insanely optimistic. Markets pull out another all-time high on Tuesday afternoon. What is the Economy? As thousands of government workers are being invited to leave, and Chevron offers severance packages to a swath of its employees, what's the best strategy if you're offered an opportunity to retire? Take a lump-sum or annuitize the dollars? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff offer helpful suggestions if you're facing "permanent furlough" with severance package advice and suggestions on how to invest severance pay; how to manage a severance package and severance pay tax strategies; and, what to do after job layoff. The DOGE deep dive into Social Security is getting interesting. Should SS benefits be taxed or not? How to best reform SS? Lance's pre-ski vacation diet and more discussion on the proper way to reform and sustain Social Security. Reports on 401k plan participation are deceiving. SEG-1: NY Fed Reports Some Improvement; NVIDIA Recovers from DeepSeek Dip SEG-2: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-1 SEG-3a: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-2 SEG-3b: DOGE & the Social Security Challenge SEG-4: How to Reform Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All-Time Highs Generate All-Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pexErGgTA6A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Exuberance Sets Up Market for Correction," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SloppyMarkets #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #SeverancePackage #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAfterLayoff #WealthManagement #CareerTransition #SocialSecurity #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
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The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

It is the 90th anniversary of the establishment of Social Security; amazingly, some recipients over the age of 150 are apparently still receiving benefits (!). Could there be a clue here on how to help shore up the fund? Just sayin... Nvidia earnings are on the way; Meta has and a 20-day winning streak, not one down day for the pat6 20-trading days. Its performance as one of the Mag-7 stocks is what has helped, in part, keep markets elevated. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” In our recent Bull Bear reports, we discussed the push by retail investors, but looking at retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks.” Retail investors are expected to become more bullish about increasing equity exposure when markets rise. However, the more extended markets become, the more confident investors are about increasing speculative risk. In other words, “success breeds confidence.” Lance reviews the dynamic between margin debt and free cash (w/charts); Lance and Jonathan examine the in's and out's of private equity fund investing; a discussion of the 60/40 portfolio rule viability; FOMO vs the fear of loss. SEG-1:The 90th Anniversary of Social Security SEG-2: Looking at margin Debt vs Free Cash SEG-3: Private Fund Investing Pro's & Con's SEG-4: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Assets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l0shh-hCog&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If You Live to 100?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jao-pXxZ46U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #MagSeven #Nvidia #Meta #RetailExuberance #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #TooMuchMoney #TooFewAssets #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketCorrection #RetailInvesting #MarketCrashAlert #StockMarketBubble #MarginDebt #FreeCash #FOMO #PrivateEquityFund #60_40_portfolio #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing…
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